Risks and Opportunities: Geopolitics, Policy, and Regulation
Risk is inherent in all energy ventures, and understanding the drivers and costs associated with specific risks is imperative in the context of energy markets and project finance. This course examines country risk—the risk that firms incur in cross-border investment. Country risk analysts and managers assess and mitigate the risk of financial loss to a firm due to country events, such as coups, social unrest, and war, as well as economic shocks and economic policy changes. This course introduces students to country risk resources and the components of country risk analysis, including macroeconomic policy and performance, the balance of payments, public finances, and banking sector and political risks. The case study approach is employed, utilizing IMF Article IV Staff Reports and other resources as source material, with particular attention given to country risk in oil exporters, a relevant topic for the energy analyst.
You'll Walk Away with
- The ability to perform comparative country risk analysis, including in relation to oil exporters
- A toolkit with which to assess the country risk inherent in an individual country
- An understanding of the drivers of country and sovereign credit risks
- Knowledge of the resources available to the country risk analyst
- Experience with the case study approach to risk analysis